Neural Network-Based Wind Turbine Power Curve Model Using Several Wind Farms' Influencing Parameters and Topography
Olayinka S. Ohunakin*,
Emerald U. Henry*,
Victor U. Ezekiel,
Olaniran J. Matthew,
Damola Adelekan,
Mutali Napfumbada
In: Localized Energy Transition in the 4th Industrial Revolution, ed. Laseinde & Eboka, pp. 162–190. Taylor & Francis, 2024.
DOI: 10.1201/9781032651958-10. (*co-first authors)
Wind turbine power curve (WTPC) modelling is of great importance for energy assessment
and forecasting. In previous works, WTPC models were developed based on wind speed only.
However, in this research, we developed modelling methods that represent actual WTPC by
extensively considering wind farms’ topography, and several field conditions (other than wind
speed only) that are found to influence the power output of wind turbines such as climate
variability, the effect of neighbouring wind turbines, turbulence intensity, wake effect, ambient
temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind direction, and terrain conditions. We analyze the
radial basis function (RBF) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP) architectures for sensitivity and
modelling accuracy. A filtered dataset is passed into the models and fitting accuracies are
computed alongside sensitivity analysis. The best-performing models are compared with
numerous parametric and non-parametric WTPC modeling schemes. It is found that the
quantile filtering (QF-NN) models outperforms all other models in terms of fitting accuracy,
and outperforms all selected hybrid models in terms of computation time.